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Saturday, March 15, 2025

There’s lastly some Tesla (TSLA) shareholder momentum to fireside Elon Musk


There lastly seems to be some Tesla shareholder momentum to fireside Elon Musk from the corporate after years of considerations being ignored by the board and most shareholders.

Nevertheless, in all probability nothing will occur so long as the inventory (TSLA) is up.

For years, we’ve got expressed considerations about Elon Musk steering Tesla away from its mission to speed up the world’s transition to sustainable transport and vitality.

It has intensified during the last yr when Musk threatened Tesla shareholders to breach his fiduciary duties, fired Tesla’s complete charging group in a kneejerk response, dove headfirst right into a worrying social media habit, shared numerous misinformation on social media, and financed politicians who’ve straight attacked Tesla and whose insurance policies go straight in opposition to Tesla’s mission.

Most of those can be firable offenses at most firms, however we additionally reported for years that Tesla has huge governance points with the board principally being fully underneath Musk’s management regardless of him proudly owning simply 13% of the corporate.

This leaves issues within the fingers of shareholders, who’re restricted to voting annually. Throughout Tesla’s shareholders assembly in June 2024, they made it clear that they’re nonetheless for Musk, with most of them voting consistent with what the board (aka him) really useful.

Because the inauguration and Musk’s salutes, the blowback, and his response to the blowback, there appears to be extra traction amongst Tesla shareholders to take away.

At the moment, the most well-liked submit on the Tesla Investor Membership on Reddit, one of many largest Tesla shareholder communities, is about eradicating Musk as CEO of Tesla, and there have been a couple of of these kind of posts getting traction over the previous couple of weeks.

The submit centered on Tesla’s lack of latest fashions aside from the Cybertruck within the final 5 years and the dearth of progress in supply volumes regardless of the remainder of the EV market rising.

It additionally makes the argument that Musk shouldn’t be following his personal guiding rules with regards to work dedication:

Assuming a couple of issues…

  1. Musk is nice at maintaining organizations centered on long run arduous to achieve targets
  2. Musk is nice at managing engineering groups
  3. Taking Musk’s personal phrases as fact: administration and engineers co-locating with manufacturing and “in particular person” on the workplace interactions are web positives.
  4. Taking Musk’s personal phrases as fact: workers not keen to do #3 ought to transfer on.

Musk shouldn’t be doing #3 and thus is now not performing #1 and #2 at Tesla for the mission. Moreover, along with his personal logic, he’s now within the group of workers that have been let go (#4).

This isn’t a nasty argument contemplating that, along with just about main six firms and understanding of the White Home for his new DOGE authorities division, he was caught actually tweeting about non-Tesla stuff in the midst of Tesla’s earnings name final week.

All that whereas, he rages in opposition to workers who earn a living from home as a result of he believes it’s much less productive.

Whereas many Tesla shareholders agreed with the submit, the principle objection was that “the inventory is up, why mess with one thing that works?”

That is certainly an issue for Tesla followers who need to see Musk go. With the board not doing something, it could come all the way down to shareholders voting the board out and forcing a confidence vote on Musk.

Shareholders are afraid that pushing Musk out would end in him promoting his inventory and triggering a giant correction in Tesla’s inventory.

Contemplating Tesla is presently buying and selling at an insane price-to-earnings ratio of 200 and nearer to 400 in the event you take away ZEV credit and the Bitcoin achieve, would that be such a nasty factor if it meant realigning with the mission?

Electrek’s Take

Clearly, I don’t suppose we might see that occur if there have been a confidence vote tomorrow. I feel the inventory would want to return all the way down to actuality to inspire shareholders to take motion.

Personally, I feel being fearful of a selloff due to Musk leaving is shortsighted. Tesla’s fundamentals are trying worse by the day, and this quarter must be the worst in years.

If Tesla inventory doesn’t crash this quarter, Tesla will doubtless be buying and selling at a 500+ P/E after reporting Q1 2025 earnings. The final time Tesla traded at these ranges, Musk warned Tesla workers that the inventory would get crushed “like a soufflé being smashed by a sledgehammer” if it didn’t present revenue progress.

A number of years later, Tesla is in an excellent worse scenario, contemplating earnings from its essential enterprise, automotive, are literally crashing, whereas earnings from self-driving automobiles and robots are realistically nonetheless years away.

It’s true that eradicating Musk would doubtless end in a short-term inventory crash, however I feel it could be good for Tesla long-term.

First, Musk is undoubtedly negatively affecting Tesla’s gross sales. Eradicating him would doubtless give Tesla some respiratory room with regards to demand.

Secondly, Musk has created an enormous legal responsibility for Tesla by persistently promising self-driving functionality on all automobiles produced since 2016. This must be addressed and stuck, and Musk is clearly not the particular person to do that.

Tesla wants management to realign the corporate with its mission and derisk the self-driving effort. I feel there’s room to nonetheless purpose for Musk’s grand imaginative and prescient for Tesla, however with out persistently mendacity and overpromising.

Name me loopy, however I feel the corporate would truthful higher with a reliable full-time CEO as a substitute of an egomaniac wannabe oligarch who persistently lies to shareholders, engages in useful resource tunneling along with his non-public competing firm, and is deeply misplaced in one of many worst circumstances of social media habit that I’ve ever seen.

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