A brand new examine revealed within the journal Renewable Power makes use of information from the state of California to display that no blackouts occurred when wind-water-solar electrical energy provide exceeded 100% of demand on the state’s major grid for a report 98 of 116 days from late winter to early summer season 2024 for a median (most) of 4.84 (10.1) hours per day.
In comparison with the identical interval in 2023, photo voltaic output in California is up 31%, wind energy is up 8%, and batteries are up a staggering 105%. Batteries provided as much as 12% of nighttime demand by storing and redistributing extra photo voltaic vitality.
And right here’s the kicker: California’s excessive electrical energy costs aren’t due to wind, water, and photo voltaic vitality. (That challenge is primarily brought on by utilities recovering the price of wildfire mitigation, transmission and distribution investments, and web vitality metering.)
Actually, researchers from Stanford, Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory, and the College of California, Berkeley discovered that states with larger shares of renewable vitality are likely to see decrease electrical energy costs. The takeaway – and the info backs it up – is that a big grid dominated by wind, water, and photo voltaic isn’t solely possible, it’s additionally dependable.
The researchers concluded:
Regardless of the fast development and excessive penetration of [wind-water-solar] WWS, the spot value of electrical energy through the interval dropped by greater than 50% in contrast with the identical interval within the earlier 12 months, and no blackouts occurred, giving confidence that the addition of extra photo voltaic, wind, and batteries shouldn’t be a trigger for concern.
Mark Z. Jacobson, co-author of the paper and professor of civil and environmental engineering and director of the ambiance/vitality program at Stanford College, defined in an e mail to Electrek:
This paper exhibits that the principle grid on the planet’s fifth-largest financial system was capable of present greater than 100% of the electrical energy that it used from solely 4 clear renewable sources: photo voltaic, wind, hydroelectric, and geothermal, for anyplace from 5 minutes to over 10 hours per day for 98 out of 116 days throughout late winter, all of spring, and early summer season, in addition to for 132 days throughout the complete 12 months of 2024, with out its grid failing.
The expansion of photo voltaic, wind, and battery storage, particularly, resulted in fossil gasoline use dropping 40% through the 116-day interval and 25% throughout the complete 12 months. As compared with 2023, photo voltaic, wind, and battery capacities elevated considerably, with batteries doubling in capability.
The paper additionally exhibits that prime electrical energy costs in California don’t have anything to do with renewables; in actual fact, with out renewables, costs would have been larger.
Actually, 10 of the 11 US states with larger fractions of their demand powered by renewables have among the many lowest US electrical energy costs.
As an alternative, in California, the spot value of electrical energy dropped by over 50% through the interval of curiosity between 2023 and 2024, indicating it was simpler to match demand with provide with the rise in renewables and batteries in 2024.
Learn extra: New CA good grid regulation will assist photo voltaic and repair the grid by… merely changing wires
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